More Welsh residents say they would vote to leave the EU than say they would vote to remain

Almost four in ten of the Welsh population aged 18+ (37%) said if there were a referendum on the United Kingdom’s membership of the European Union, they would vote for the UK to leave. Fewer – around three in ten (29%) - said they would vote for the UK to remain a member of the EU, while the remainder said they would not vote (21%) or were unsure (14%).


988 adults aged 18 and over across Wales were asked “If there was a referendum on the United Kingdom’s membership of the European Union, how would you vote?” during the latest wave of the Beaufort Wales Omnibus survey, conducted in June.

The picture was relatively consistent across Wales, with more saying they would vote to leave than said they would vote to remain in the EU across all regions, with those in the Valleys being the most likely to say they would vote for the UK to leave the European Union (44%).

Although younger respondents (18 to 34) were the least likely to vote (29%), in contrast to their older counterparts they were more likely to vote for the UK to remain a member of the European Union (32%) than leave (23%).

There were also some marked differences in voting intention by socio-economic grade (see table below). Those from lower socio-economic groups were more likely to vote in favour of leaving the EU than in favour of remaining a member, while those from the highest socio-economic grades (AB) were more likely to state a preference for remaining a member of the EU.

Welsh speakers were also more likely to say they would vote for the UK to remain a member of the European Union (36%) than leave (31%), while 26% of non Welsh-speakers said they would vote for the UK to remain a member, and 39% said they would vote to leave.
 

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