Welsh adults more optimistic than pessimistic about post-Brexit future

In our latest opinion poll for the Western Mail, a representative sample of adults across Wales were asked how they feel about the future after the UK voted to leave the European Union in the referendum on 23 June 2016.

Almost half of the Welsh adults interviewed (48%) said they feel more optimistic about the future after the referendum, with 22% saying they are ‘a lot more optimistic’ and another 26% saying they are ‘a little more optimistic’.  In contrast, just under four in ten Welsh adults (37%) said the reverse, with 17% of people saying they feel ‘a little more pessimistic’ and another 18% that they feel ‘a lot more pessimistic’ post-EU referendum.  Another 15% of the population could not answer.

Overall, therefore, Welsh adults are more likely to feel more optimistic about the future post-Brexit vote than more pessimistic (see chart below).

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Marked differences in feelings about the future in Wales post-Brexit were evident by region, age and by social grade, however:

- Cardiff and South East Wales is the only region where the balance of opinion among the population is pessimistic rather than optimistic after the referendum result (with 51% of residents saying they feel more pessimistic and only 39% saying they feel more optimistic). Conversely, the situation is reversed in areas such as the South Wales Valleys, where 57% say they feel more optimistic about the future and only 29% more pessimistic post-Brexit

- Young people (16-34s) are almost twice as likely to feel a lot more pessimistic than a lot more optimistic about the future after the referendum (at 19% and 10% respectively in this age group), although as many as one in five 16-34s (20%) said they don’t know; in contrast, almost three in ten of those aged 55+ (29%) say they feel a lot more optimistic after the referendum result, while only 18% of this age group say the reverse

- Those in the AB socioeconomic groups (that is, those in the middle classes in higher or intermediate managerial, administrative or professional jobs) are also much more likely to be pessimistic than optimistic at the prospect of Brexit, with 29% saying they feel a lot more pessimistic and only 15% the reverse; the proportions are reversed among C2s (that is, skilled manual workers) in Wales, with 29% saying they feel a lot more optimistic about the future and only 14% saying the opposite.

In our survey a representative sample of 1,013 adults aged over 16 across Wales were asked the following question:

Q. How do you feel about the future after the UK voted to leave the European Union in the referendum on 23 June? Please tell me which of these statements best sums up your feelings.

I’m a lot more optimistic about the future
I’m a little more optimistic about the future
I’m a little more pessimistic about the future
I’m a lot more pessimistic about the future

Don’t know

 

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